Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/11718/9793
Title: Analysis of long-term energy and carbon emission scenarios for India
Authors: Shukla, P. R.
Nair, R.
Rana, Ashish
Keywords: Modeling;Energy;Trajectories
Issue Date: 19-Oct-2003
Abstract: In the coming years India faces great challenges in energy and environment. The path of development chosen by India, upon which lies the future growth of energy and emission trajectories, would be greatly influenced by technological developments both within and outside the country, economic cooperation between countries, and global cooperation in limiting greenhouse gas emissions. This paper discusses the integrated modeling system used for developing and analyzing the longterm trajectories and presents results for the scenarios developed. In the context of ongoing market reforms two scenarios – accelerated and decelerated reforms – are developed depicting fast and slow progress in energy sector reforms compared to expectations in the baseline scenario. Accelerated market reforms would spur improvements in technological efficiencies. Reforms would lower investment risks in India, thereby stimulating increased levels of foreign direct investment. On the other hand in decelerated reform scenario economic growth is lower than that in the base case, there is low access to capital, and technological improvements lag behind those in the base case. In another scenario we assume specific policy interventions for penetration of renewable technologies over the baseline scenario, for promotion and accelerated deployment of renewable energy technologies over and above the baseline assumptions. A scenario with carbon (C) constraints has also been developed and the results discussed.
Description: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 8: 53–69, 2003.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/11718/9793
Appears in Collections:Journal Articles

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat 
Analysisoflongtermenergy.pdf
  Restricted Access
259.8 kBAdobe PDFView/Open Request a copy


Items in IIMA Institutional Repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.